Priors

Counting and complements · Lottery · difficulty 3 of 5

Three numbers or better

A lottery draws 6 different numbers at random from 1 to 49. Your ticket has 6 different numbers of your choice. What is the probability that at least 3 of your numbers are among the 6 drawn?

Answer with a probability. First lock in a gut guess with an 80% range, then solve it properly, then watch a simulation settle on the truth.

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