Priors

Expectation · Dice · difficulty 3 of 5

The first repeat

You roll a fair 6-sided die again and again, until some face comes up for the second time. What is the expected number of rolls, counting the roll that repeats a face?

Answer with an expected value. First lock in a gut guess with an 80% range, then solve it properly, then watch a simulation settle on the truth.

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